by Jacob Maichel
As someone who just started using mobile banking at 24 I may be biased,
but I think we will remove large bills from circulation in the near
future. I was amazed to learn that in 1976 $100 bills made up only 25%
of the money in circulation, rising to about 80% today. Though inflation
may be able to explain some if this phenomenon, it still is an
astonishing statistic. To account for all these $100s every person would
have to possess about thirty-six $100s. This is not thirty-six for each
working age adult, but also children, seniors, and every single one of
the 325,000,000 people in the United States.
Physical cash encourages crimes that would be difficult if not
non-existent without it. The two main types of crime cash enables are
profit-motivated crime and tax evasion. Profit-motivated crime is crime
in which cash allows people to escape detection by authorities. Some
examples of these are human trafficking, drug dealing, and illegal
gambling.
For profit-motivated crime, criminals need to be able to convert smaller
bills they receive illicitly into large bills for easy storage and
transportation. Thus, it is interesting to see where the Federal Reserve
sends the majority of its large denomination bills. There is
practically no demand for them here in the Midwest but border states, in
which much of the illegal drug trade operates, hold almost all demand
for large bills. Large-denomination bills allow for massive cash
transactions. One million dollars in $100 bills can fit in one briefcase
and weighs only twenty-two pounds, removing the largest bill would
dramatically increase the difficulty to move large quantities of cash.
Sure, other items such as diamonds, can be a way to store criminal
assets but they are much less liquid than traditional cash.
Cryptocurrency provides a possible alternative but is much more
traceable. Perhaps an all-digital economy would help keep transactions
honest and deter criminal activity, but there are other options.
There are, of course, merits to the use of physical cash. Keeping
smaller denominations is important for a few big reasons. Chiefly it
allows consumers to retain some level of anonymity by “staying off the
grid”, making untraceable purchases of a few hundred dollars. It also
financially includes the homeless, some of which who survive on small
donations from the public.
Perhaps we could even replace paper money with coins. Removing large
bills and using coins for smaller purchases certainly makes it much more
difficult to transport large amounts of money. The coins also last
significantly longer then their paper counterparts, helping the
government maintain a stable money supply.
Although the transition would have to take place over an extended period
of time, a less cash-dependent society may not be as far off as we
believe. Singapore’s central bank is pushing commercial banks to do away
with any cash and South Korea plans to be cashless by 2020. South Korea
has a program already in place that allows people to pay cash and the
change is deposited to your bank account. A similar program could help
us phase out big bills and deter cash-reliant crimes.
Jacob C. Maichel is a Graduate Assistant at the Gwartney Institute and an MBA student at Ottawa University
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